Blog
Is Vanguard Taking Over The ETF Market?
December 04, 2009
Maybe not yet, but it’s putting on quite a show.
[Correction: In an earlier version of this article, the second table had an error in the December 2007 AUM column. Those numbers have been corrected below.]
I spent part of yesterday culling through the National Stock Exchange’s ETF data for the month of November, pulling together our monthly Fund Flows Report. As I played with the numbers, there were several things that jumped out at me:
- The Market Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF (NYSEArca: GDXJ) pulled in $487 million in assets in its first month on the market. That has to be one of the top five all-time ETF debuts.
- ProShares and Direxion show no ill effects from the controversy that plagued them earlier this year: The companies are No. 3 and No. 5 on the list of net cash inflows in 2009, pulling in $8.5 billion and $5.7 billion, respectively. Not too shabby.
- The Direxion Daily Financial Bear 3x ETF (NYSEArca: FAZ) has attracted $3.4 billion in net inflows this year, but has only $1.3 billion in assets under management. Ouch.
But as interesting as these hot spots are, the fact that really stands out to me is this:
- Vanguard gathered $5.4 billion in inflows in November, leading all firms and outpacing BlackRock’s (nee BGI’s) $4.2 billion.
Vanguard has been nipping at BlackRock’s heels for months, and it finally won in November. It’s all the more impressive when you consider that these massive inflows landed in 45 Vanguard ETFs versus the more than 150 offered by BlackRock.
The news got me wondering about how Vanguard’s success has changed the look of the “mainstream” ETF industry.
The way we count it, there are currently four ETF companies that aim to provide a full complement of “core” investment products: BlackRock, State Street Global Advisors, Vanguard and PowerShares. Not coincidentally, they are the four largest ETF providers in the world.
All four providers have seen their assets rise substantially over the last year, thanks to solid net inflows and strong market performance. BlackRock leads in terms of dollar value; Vanguard leads in terms of percentage asset growth. But mostly, all four companies have done well.
|
“Big Four” Asset Growth: 2008-2009 (millions) |
||||
| Issuer | AUM Nov-09 |
AUM Nov-08 |
Asset Growth ($) |
Asset Growth (%) |
|
BlackRock |
$360,960 |
$229,253 |
$131,707 |
57% |
|
SSgA |
$174,122 |
$142,891 |
$31,231 |
22% |
|
Vanguard |
$87,545 |
$40,355 |
$47,190 |
117% |
|
Invesco PowerShares |
$41,688 |
$24,551 |
$17,137 |
70% |
Peel back another year, however, and the numbers get more interesting: Between 2007 and 2009, Vanguard is the only one of these four providers to grow much at all. And, boy, has it grown, with assets up 108 percent compared with 9 percent for BlackRock, 2 percent for PowerShares and just 1 percent for SSgA.
|
“Big Four” Asset Growth: 2007-2009 |
||||
| Issuer | AUM Nov-09 |
AUM Dec-07 |
Asset Growth ($) |
Asset Growth (%) |
|
BlackRock |
$360,960 |
$332,346 |
$28,614 |
9% |
|
SSgA |
$174,122 |
$173,073 |
$1,049 |
1% |
|
Vanguard |
$87,545 |
$42,059 |
$45,486 |
108% |
|
Invesco PowerShares |
$41,688 |
$40,943 |
$745 |
2% |
Of course, the S&P 500 is down 25 percent over that time period, so these numbers mask significant inflows for every ETF firm. But if anything, that just makes Vanguard’s growth all the more impressive.
Crystal-Ball Gazing
The worrisome thing for other ETF providers is that as Vanguard’s ETFs grow, they will whittle away at the advantages that first-mover ETFs have in the space. A number of people have asked me why all the investors in the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (NYSEArca: EEM) don’t switch en masse to the Vanguard Emerging Markets ETF (NYSEArca: VWO). Both funds track the same index, but VWO has less tracking error and an expense ratio that’s significantly lower than EEM. VWO has been growing faster than EEM recently, but it’s not a landslide.
The primary reason has been name recognition (EEM means emerging markets to many traders), and thus liquidity. EEM is one of the most liquid securities in the world, with an average daily dollar volume of $3.4 billion. VWO’s average daily dollar volume is just $389 million, or about 10 percent of EEM. If you’re a short-term trader concerned primarily about liquidity, EEM is the obvious choice, expenses and tracking error be damned.
But as VWO continues to grow, it seems inevitable that it will slowly chip away at that lead, so that more and more people will move to the cheaper, better-tracking product.
Where does this leave other ETF providers? In trouble. So what do they do?
One obvious answer is to cut costs, bringing their offerings more in line with Vanguard’s pricing. For investors, the increased price competition in the ETF world over the past year is an unmitigated good thing.
Of course, Vanguard can’t sit tight either: Charles Schwab is now the cost leader in the ETF space in the few categories it’s got products, and it offers investors with accounts at Schwab free trading to boot. Schwab’s ETFs have been slowly gathering assets since their launch, and I’d expect that to continue.
For the most part, I think the growth of Vanguard and the entry of firms like Charles Schwab will serve to grow the overall ETF pie. But for now, it does look like these low-cost firms are taking a growing piece of that pie as well.
-
2010
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July
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June
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March
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July
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2009
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December
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October
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September
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August
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July
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June
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May
- What I Read Every Day
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March
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February
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- Schwab!
- Don't Buy USO (Buy USL Instead)
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January
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- My 2009 New Year's Resolutions
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December
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2008
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December
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- POPPYCOCK!
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November
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October
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- Just Doing Our Part
- Journal of Indexes Saves American Capitalism
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September
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- Staffing Up At IU.com And iShares
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- The End Of EAFE?
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August
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- Sunshine Cleans Everything
- Easiest Prediction Of The Day
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- Bring Down That Expense Ratio
- Can We Get A VMT And A...
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July
- Crazy ETF Trading Volumes
- ETF Industry Data - First...
- Not So Fast
- It’s Not About 401(k)s
- Yep – That’s About Right
- Really, Jim?
- Overselling Our Case
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- ETF Trading and the Frontier Markets
- Sectors Tell A Great Story
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- The Answer Is ''All Of The Above''
- Questioning Conventional Wisdom
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June
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- Crazy ETF Ideas
- Money, Money, Money
- One (ETF) Structure To Rule Them All?
- Phillips: ETFs Will Never Replace Mutual Funds
- 5 Observations About The ETF/ETN Market
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- ETFs, Advisors And Adding Value
- 2 and 25 For a Few ETFs
- The Mirror on the Wall
- What ETFs Really Offer Investors
- Using A Fish For A Hammer
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- And I Could Do Better Than Lieberman
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- Oil And The Euro
- Spreads, The Dollar And Diehards
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- Buyer Beware
- The Risks In ETFs
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May
- Tail Wagging the Dog?
- Contango In The Oil Markets?
- Wow Is The Word
- ETF Asset Flows Year-To-Date
- My Crystal Ball
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- Roll 'em, Roll 'em, Roll 'em
- Hungry For Common Sense
- Fox In The Henhouse
- Academics Gone Wild
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- The Problem with European Investing
- More On The CPI, And On Europe
- London Calling
- More On Cigarettes Than Prescription Drugs?
- Boo-Ya For Merkel
- The Thing About ETNs
- Not Just One Lonely Voice
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- 25 Years of Mediocrity
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- 30,800% Premium to NAV
- Macros Really Max Out
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- Truth and Tools
- Here's How We Can Be (Better Investors...
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-
April
- The Lure (or not) Of Lower Fees
- SPY vs. IVV Revisited
- Yes...and no, Matt
- Do Expense Ratios Matter?
- Still Waiting For More Currency ETNs
- Cliffs Notes on ETF Families
- MacroShares 2.0
- Termination Complete
- Termination Day
- ETF Data Geeks Dream Table III
- It's All About Front-Running
- And They're Off!
- Social Networking Gone Haywire
- ETF Data Geeks Dream Table II
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- Total Stock Market vs. Slice 'N Dice
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-
March
- NETS and iShares and Exchange Competition
- Big Launch For NASDAQ Along With BGI's...
- Active Vs. Passive Debate About To Really...
- Why, Why, Why...
- You Think EM Is Due For A...
- Emerging Markets Slowdown Upon Us
- Adjust for What?
- Adjust For Volatility?
- Feeling Queasy?
- Bear Stearns Active ETF Not Listing Tomorrow
- Boring Little Details?
- No Fallout From Bear Stearns On ETN...
- A Race To The Starting Line
- PowerShares Now Cast As Dark Horse?
- Is SEC Opening Floodgates?
- ETF Data Geek Paradise
- Two (Or Three) Cheers Is Right
- SEC Dynamos And The Coming Recession
- DBA Is Full-Up
- Please Call Me An Idiot!
- Thoughts On Active ETFs
-
February
- Not All Is Green In ETF Land
- Morningstar's Fair Value Vs. Bobo
- The Sky Has Fallen
- Bogle Actually Given Opportunity To Remain?
- Going Out On Top
- Brennan's Departure Closes Old Wounds
- Fuzzy Math Quandary
- The Math Is Relentless
- Is The U.S. ETF Industry Falling Behind?
- Groan (and the Latest Industry Gossip)
- What's Missing From The Dow
- What Has (Dow's) Prestbo Been Smoking?
- DJIA Moves Raise Serious Questions
- About The Dow Changes
- ETF Asset Flows
- What Happened To All Of Those New...
- Correcting My Blog
- More Education Obviously Needed
- Why The 'Claymore 11' Does Matter
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- Talking FOOTBALL?
- Murray’s First Slipup
- Go New York Giants!
- Hedge Funds Skirt Efficient Frontier
-
January
- The Utter Ordinariness Of Hedge Funds
- Hedge Fund Folly Picking Up Pace
- How to Weight Your Index
- Gold, Real Estate And Politics
- And Then There Were Four
- One Exchange to Rule Them All
- Not Quite Right, Jim
- Guys Named Rob And Hougan's Folly
- Five Golden Rules For The ETF Industry
- Free Money and Rogue Index Traders
- What Should I Do With My $1,500?
- Bill Gates, Indexing And Capitalism
- Wiandt the Prophet (or is that Profit?)
- Are Quant ETFs Doomed?
- Time to Buy?
- Panic Sets In?
- Speaking of the Nasdaq...
- What Will the NYSE/Amex Merger Mean For...
- Murray Coleman, COME ON DOWN!
- What I Learned From The Conference
- Review of Latest in ETFs
- Alternative Energy And Politics
- Politics and Indexing (and Morningstar)
- Morningstar Gets ETFs All Wrong
- Wiry Samoan Wins Index Investing Contest
- Dead Serious (Plus, Investing By Haiku)
- Taking Hougan To Task
- Now, The Gloves Come Off
- Jim’s Rose-Colored Glasses
- Handicapping the ETF Product Issuers
- 2007 ETF League Table (Updated)
- Reflections on Bobo
-
December
-
2007
-
December
- Bobo's Hot ETF Picks for 2008
- Tax-Loss Harvesting With ETFs
- 10 ETFs You Can’t Afford NOT to...
- Gold, Bhutto And Money Market Funds
- Jim Wiandt: The Mother Teresa Of Investing
- Hougan's Whoville
- Your Christmas Wish Is Granted
- Christmas Wishes
- All I Want For Christmas
- Nice One Matt
- Making IndexUniverse.com Even Better
- OUR Year In Review
- Hougan's Secret To Successful Investing
- Financial Lessons To Live By For Your...
- The Best Small Cap International ETF
- The Difference Between Value and FTSE RAFI
- Don't Forget About Transaction Costs
- Jim Calls In The Cavalry
- A Fundamental/DFA Comparison
- Taxes And ETNs
- Message From the REAL Rob Arnott
- Maggie's Revenge
- Did Rob Arnott Take Over Jim’s Blog?
- Poor Maggie
- How I Really Invest My Money
- Hougan’s 13.65 Basis Point Portfolio
- The 13.65 Basis Point Portfolio
- There You Go Again (ICI)
- ETN Tax Update
-
November
- Hougan Goes 'Round and 'Round
- Jim Comes 'Round To Reason
- Ok, I Get It, Burton
- Ten Interesting Facts About The Market
- Talking Turkey
- It’s Not Just MSCI
- Rupert and the IPO
- The MSCI IPO
- Bluster Up, Wisdom (And Wiandt) Down
- Gold Up, China (and Hougan) Down
- Top And Bottom Performers
- Weighting China
- Another Day, Another ($30 billion) Dollar(s)
- Playing Offense, Playing Defense
- The Real Deal on Northern Trust
- Rydex Launch Should Make Things Interesting
- Schoenfeld Never Tells Me ANYTHING
- One ETF To Rule Them All
- 5 ETFs That Fool No One
- Five ETFs That Fool You
- An Eye Overseas
- iShares Plan for World Domination
-
October
- Is Wiandt Wising Up? (Nah)
- Could Hougan Be Right? (Nah)
- Marathon Man
- $100 Oil And 401(K)s
- 25 Years of Mediocrity
- Active ETFs
- ETNs and The Law
- Do Individual Investors Care About Taxes?
- ETN/ETF WAR
- Red Sox And ETNs
- Matt’sBLOG
- FolioFN
- HERE’S Some Pudding For You Hougan
- The Best Commodity ETF (Today)
- Finally, The Pudding
- ETFs Doing Price Discovery
- The Buyback Swindle
- RAFI - the Other DFA?
- The Big Lie
- DFA On The Move?
- Global Thoughts
- Rating Investing Opportunities Abroad
- The Irony Of Target-Date Funds
- The Problem With Target Date Funds
- 15 bps and a Cloud of Dust
- The Fifteen Basis Point Portfolio
-
September
- Go SPY Go
- A $100 Billion ETF?
- Let’s Look At Facts
- Planet Doomed
- We Are Doomed
- Where ETFs And Indexing Are Getting it...
- And So Is Indexing
- EAFE is Obsolete
- Let's Talk About SSgA
- Live at the Art of Indexing
- Meet the Indexers
- Sexier Than Borat In A What?
- Go SSgA!
- Why Competition Is Good
- ETFs and Market Impact
- Opening Illiquid Markets
- Hello Munis and Hello Rudy
- Returns Decay
- The Shakedown
- Fundamentalists
- Style Is Back
- Alpha And Fees
- Five Game-Changing ETFs
- The Great DFA Debate
-
August
- You want MORE ETFs?
- Where The ETF Industry Is Headed
- Five Biggest Summer ETF Developments
- 5 ETFs I Like (For Real)
- Scams? Try Stockbrokers
- 5 Most Scandalous Areas of Financial Services
- Bubonic Plague
- Once In a Light Year
- Do You Speak ETF?
- Do You Speak Hedgie?
- A New Boom In Hong Kong
- 5 ETFs I LIKE
- One Exchange To Rule Them All
- The 6 AM Blog
- The Sky --Is-- Falling
- The Real Estate Crisis
- Gold, Real Estate And Reality
- Sound of Silence
- Good As Gold
- The Myth Of El Dorado
- Gold Investing Makes No Sense?
- Put It All in China and Gold
- Worse Than Nothing
- MY Plan for 401(k)
- Which ETFs To Avoid, Part 2
- Who Let the Dogs Out?
- Touching The Third Rail
- Three ETFs I Would Not Invest In
- Backwardation Is Back
-
July
- 75 Basis Points, Maybe More
- Fifteen Basis Points
- You, Me and Bobo
- The Tumbling Market
- The Case (or not) For Commodities
- Vim In The VIX
- Iceberg Dead Ahead Captain!
- Introducing EAFE
- What, Me Worry?
- Indexing In A Globalized Era
- Priced to Perfection
- Reflexive Inflation?
- GDP Weighting
- Putting it All on Black
- The China Conundrum
- Here's My Plan, Jim
- What do we do, Matt?
- The iPhone ETF
- Slicing Further Still...
- A Finer Cut
- Handicapping The ETF Issuers
- Escape The Average?!?
- Economist Comes Out For Indexing!
- Weekend Reading
- Add This To Issues Damaging Index Returns
- Buyback Boondoggle?
- Tax Plays? Cash Redemptions?
- All's Well That Ends Well
- Gaming the iShares Russell 2000?
-
June
- Big Bucks and IWM Chicanery
- Rydex Sweepstakes Over
- And a Cloud of Dust
- Sixteen Basis Points
- Life In the Index Intelligentsia
- Semantics
- ChaCHING
- ICE Lands Russell Contract
- Great Expectations
- Issuer Valuations, Rydex and ETNs
- ETF Prices
- ETF Seed Money Dries Up
- Are Best Practices Good Enough?
- Russell Recon And Best Practices
- Burton Malkiel LOVES ETFs
- Buybacks? Or Kickbacks?
- This I Believe
- You Knew They Were Coming
- ETFs - the Devil's Work
- Two (Or Three Or Four) Chinas
- Come One Come All -...
- Supply And Demand
- Nowhere To Go But Down
- May
-
December
